Bhubaneswar:20/5/21: Even as only 96 hours are left for the low pressure to take shape in the hotter Bay of Bengal, Met models the world over are seem divided today over the likely track of the season’s first cyclone in the Bay of Bengal.
But the weather models are almost unanimous over the severity of the ‘Cyclone Yaas’.
Almost all the models estimate the central pressure of the system to fall to around 970 millibars – which means the likely cyclone will have the intensity of Cyclone Titli that wreaked havoc in Odisha after making landfall at Palasa( Andhra Pradesh) in 2018.
As per the estimated central pressure and wind speed by all models, it seems certain that the developing Cyclone Yaas will be in the category of the very severe cyclonic storm (VSCS).
Now sample the model predictions.
INCOIS: Recently, Secretary MOES, M Rajeevanhas recently praised the ace ocean research institute of India for helping IMD in making the correct prediction about Cyclone Tauktae.
As per the model of this top institute, the probable cyclone ‘Yaas’ will make landfall between Odisha’s Balasore and West Bengal’s Digha. ( Watch the image below)